Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.189378 1.412006 1.645225 1.906158 2.188440 2.483220 2.812971
2025-01-05 0.859682 1.167186 1.511097 1.917167 2.377151 2.876482 3.454227
2025-01-12 0.658322 0.997572 1.396779 1.886625 2.458808 3.095287 3.846813
2025-01-19 0.568816 0.944454 1.404784 1.986129 2.680216 3.465346 4.404998
2025-01-26 0.506117 0.911993 1.427112 2.093188 2.902307 3.829418 4.950319
2025-02-02 0.460926 0.894825 1.462790 2.211974 3.135025 4.203641 5.505999
2025-02-09 0.430499 0.892606 1.513745 2.346664 3.384654 4.596181 6.081961
2025-02-16 0.384376 0.861210 1.521876 2.424025 3.562181 4.902155 6.556238
2025-02-23 0.327227 0.805322 1.491651 2.448109 3.671087 5.124350 6.930756
2025-03-02 0.248529 0.702942 1.388813 2.371066 3.649105 5.185827 7.112631
2025-03-09 0.179688 0.603108 1.280320 2.279215 3.602734 5.213365 7.250466
2025-03-16 0.133784 0.533942 1.209924 2.233320 3.610441 5.303142 7.459356
2025-03-23 0.107196 0.499793 1.194181 2.267369 3.728777 5.538697 7.856521
2025-03-30 0.080489 0.457882 1.162933 2.278216 3.816854 5.737986 8.212207
2025-04-06 0.053303 0.402944 1.104179 2.245030 3.843138 5.857271 8.468022
2025-04-13 0.047898 0.405918 1.143086 2.354299 4.059879 6.216285 9.017501
2025-04-20 0.044000 0.412302 1.187598 2.471815 4.287896 6.589880 9.585403
2025-04-27 0.041748 0.423400 1.240396 2.601857 4.533212 6.985903 10.181592
2025-05-04 0.041343 0.440694 1.304423 2.749008 4.802141 7.412410 10.815997
2025-05-11 0.035165 0.435322 1.326864 2.833374 4.985834 7.730961 11.317954
2025-05-18 0.025302 0.410398 1.311624 2.859620 5.089686 7.947640 11.694252
2025-05-25 0.011461 0.351254 1.226633 2.775629 5.039957 7.966500 11.824694
2025-06-01 0.002980 0.292624 1.134514 2.675362 4.963989 7.948901 11.907578